Two-point obsession becomes a fool's choice for John Harbaugh and the Ravens.

John Harbaugh loves to gamble on two-point conversions, but he'll keep going broke in 2021.

USA About: Ravens Publish: 12/21/2021 Edit: 12/21/2021 Author: Gardener


John HarbaughJohn Harbaugh loves to gamble on two-point conversions, but he'll keep going broke in 2021. Last but not least, the Baltimore Ravens head coach, John Harbaugh, is a man of conviction. He's apparently also a man who believes in analytics, but not necessarily in numbers. The latter may seem like a contradiction in terms, but after opting for a two-point conversion with less than a minute of play instead of shooting a game-defining extra point against the Green Bay Packers and costing his team a chance for a shot in overtime It is not victory Sunday. Analytics doing their best to ruin the sport argue that the two-point conversion is the correct quantitative approach to winning soccer games. It's similar to basketball theory that it's better to clink three-point shots from the edge because it's a 50 percent bonus if you hit one. With 42 seconds of play, Harbaugh decided not to kick the game-determining extra point in order to complete a 14-point comeback of the fourth quarterback, and instead asked the rarely used backup quarterback Tyler Huntley, who played in place of the injured Lamar Jackson, for one to make more game for the ravens than he had in him. Why do I say this when the analysts insist that it is the right game even though it came out wrong? This season, Harbaugh has made the two-point conversion eight times. The Ravens failed on six of them, which means that that bet was a loser 75 percent of the time. It was also the third game in a row that Harbaugh bet on a two-point conversion. The Ravens failed at all three. Perhaps Harbaugh has a memory problem because just two games ago, in an almost identical situation, he decided to take two points, usually 12 seconds back, against the Pittsburgh Steelers, although an extra point would almost certainly have forced extra time. His ravens also failed at that time. Nobody will ever know if these decisions will cost the Ravens a playoff spot, but they have now lost three times in a row by a total of four points and chosen a low percentage gambit three times instead of taking their chances in overtime twice. Harbaugh defended his decision by saying, “We were just trying to get the win right there. In overtime ... I think our chances of winning right there were a little higher than in overtime, maybe if you calculate it. ”He says they had a 75 percent chance in overtime against both that Steelers as well as losing to the Packers? "I felt good about it," Harbaugh insisted. “I thought we had a good game. It was actually not a good game on Sunday. It was a poorly designed rollout to the right that left Huntley on target with just one receiver and everyone in the stadium knew it was a tight Mark Andrews. As soon as Huntley started rolling on Andrews' side, the safety in the center of the field would light up in his direction, essentially creating a double team that brought the game to fail. Good game? Good game? It's easier to justify than defending that call to play, resulting in a tipped ball and harmless imperfections that made the Ravens 31-30 losers. Still, Harbaugh stayed like too many coaches - he made 75 percent of the right decision this season, even if it was the wrong one. "It's mostly a gut instinct," said Harbaugh when asked about his apparent acceptance of the analytics. The numbers will never be perfect. Most likely, the main decision was that he didn't want to risk Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, with only 42 seconds left on the ball, only one field goal to win. But after his team had fought their way back to (almost) level after being 14 behind in the fourth quarter, didn't they deserve the right to a chance of victory of more than 25 percent? By this point, Huntley had thrown for two touchdowns, run for two touchdowns, and matched pass for pass with Rodgers for most of the game. That afternoon he was good enough to play the game in 42 seconds. Well, you almost tie the game with 42 seconds to play. Harbaugh's players stood behind his decision, despite the fact that the last three games have been expensive. They said to one man that Harbaugh was playing to win, and they respected that. But wouldn't they have played to win if they had got overtime? In the end, their audacity made the Ravens and Harbaugh the first team in NFL history to get two two-point conversions in multiple games, followed by a single point in the fourth quarter. Because all of these other coaches didn't need a nerdy number-cracker from M. I.T. Telling you a 75 percent chance of failure is not a good chance.


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